Methodology v1.1

Inline citations to Brier 1950 + Murphy 1973 + Tetlock and Gardner 2015 with dedicated References section; new Murphy decomposition section (Reliability minus Resolution plus Uncertainty); ScholarlyArticle JSON-LD schema with citation array; DefinedTermSet with 8 terms; Figure 1 inline reliability-diagram SVG (perfect-calibration diagonal plus 3 example source curves); machine-readable JSON-LD twin at /api/methodology.json (CC-BY-4.0).